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National Groundhog Day 2026 – Fun Facts – Folklore & Weather Prediction

February 2 is recognized as National Groundhog Day and celebrated through out the country as a fun way to predict the arrival of spring.

Each year, millions of people await the prediction from Punxsutawney Phil on this national day to learn how long our winter will last.

Much of the country is covered in snow in early February, and many people have had enough of winter. It is no wonder that a common question on National Groundhog Day is “will the groundhog see his shadow at Gobbler’s Knob on February 2?”

Keep reading to learn more the history, traditions and fun facts about Groundhog Day. There is also a weather prediction and a list of ways to celebrate this February national day.

Groundhog sitting in the grass.

What does it mean if the groundhog sees his shadow on National Groundhog Day?

According to folklore, the groundhog is seen as a sort of weather predictor on February 2 each year.

Tradition tells us that, if the day is a sunny one and the groundhog sees his shadow, he will be scared and will retreat back into his burrow. This means that winter weather will last at least another six weeks.

On the other hand, if the day is cloudy when the groundhog emerges from his burrow, this means that he will come out to stay, and spring will be early that year.Gate with arch reading Gobbler's Knob and groundhogs.

Although several states have adopted their own groundhog for this day, the official groundhog is thought to be Punxsutawney Phil, who lives at Gobbler’s Knob near Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania.

Thousands of people have visited the town over the years to take part in the various groundhog festivities that take place there on February 2.

In Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, modern customs involve early morning celebrations to watch the groundhog emerge from its burrow. There are also other day long festivities happening, as well.

Punxsutawney Phil has been making his weather prediction, in Punxsutawney, PA, since the first Groundhog Day in 1887, which makes Phil quite an old groundhog!

The activities include lots of food being served, with skits and plays being performed. Of course, Phil the groundhog is presented to the crowd as the weather is predicted.

A groundhog in his den in the snow.

The history of Groundhog Day

The tradition of National Groundhog Day dates back to the arrival of early German settlers in Pennsylvania. They had a tradition that predicted if the sun was shining on Candlemas Day (February 2) – the snow would still be falling in May.

Some early settlers even adopted groundhogs, which were plentiful in the area at this time, as harbingers of the weather. This poem tells us of the tradition:

If Candlemas be fair and bright,
Winter has another flight.
If Candlemas brings clouds and rain,
Winter will not come again.

Groundhog in sun and chalkboard with Groundhog Day images and text reading What will the weather be on February 2?

Weather forecast for Punxsutawney, PA on Groundhog Day

The weather prediction for February 2, 2026 in Punxsutawney, PA calls for overcast weather with 24% possibility of snow and a high of 24° F.

Since Phil doesn’t always do what the weather man says he’ll likely do, who knows whether he will see his shadow on National Groundhog Day or not?

This means that we will have to wait to see if Phil sees his shadow!

An overview of the weather for Groundhog Day 2026, showing a daytime high of 24°F, a nighttime high of 11°F, and a 24% chance of precipitation.

Other fun facts about Punxsutawney Phil, the groundhog

There are lots of fun facts associated with Punxsutawney Phil. Including, when Phil decided during the prohibition years, that there would be 60 more weeks of winter if he were not allowed a drink!

Brush up on your knowledge of the world’s most famous groundhog with these other Groundhog Day facts.Groundhog peeking out of burrow in snow.

  • Phil has been predicting the weather sine the late 1880s!
  • Phil has a wife named Phyllis.
  • Punxsutawney Phil hangs out at the local town library.
  • The Punxsutawney Groundhog Club’s inner circle, of which there are 15 members, is responsible for Phil.
  • Phil was reportedly named after King Phillip
  • Other names for Phil are “Seer of Seers”, “Sage of Sages”, “Prognosticator of Prognosticators”, and “Weather Prophet Extraordinary”.
  • According to folklore, there is only one Punxsutawney Phil – he says all the others are impostors!

How many times has the groundhog been right in predicting the weather?

Various reports say that Phil is correct about 47% of the time. So, we might be as lucky finding out when spring will come by flipping a coin, but a groundhog sure is a cuter way to predict spring!

Some reports, such as those from Stormfax Almanac are as low as 39% accuracy.Groundhog holding a blackboard with words Groundhog day February 2 and question mark about spring..

Punxsutawney Phil live stream

Visit PA has a live stream where you can watch the day’s proceedings, Phil’s arrival and more. If you can’t go in person to the event, watching the stream is a fun way to keep updated.

Check out the live stream for Punxsutawney Phil’s forecast here.

Ways to celebrate National Groundhog Day

Would you like to celebrate this Groundhog Day in a special way? Try one of these ideas.

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Share this post with Groundhog Day facts on X

Have you enjoyed learning these facts about Groundhog Day? Let your friends and family know about them by sharing this post:

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Pin this post about National Groundhog Day for later

Would you like a reminder of this post for about Punxsutawney Phil? Just pin this image to one of your holiday boards on Pinterest so that you can easily find it later.Punxsutawney Phil predicting the weather for National Groundhog day

Image source Wikimedia Commons

Admin note: This post first appeared on the blog in February of 2017. I have updated the post to add new photos, a printable coloring sheet, additional facts about Punxsutawney Phil and a video for you to enjoy.

Groundhog printable

Looking for an activity to do for Groundhog Day? Why not get in some adult coloring with this fun printable of a groundhog ready for spring?

Yield: 1 printable

Groundhog Day Coloring Sheet

Words groundhog day.

If you are bored with winter and looking for an activity for groundhog day, why not print this image and add some color to it?

Adult coloring is both relaxing and fun. This groundhog is all set for spring, even if the weather isn't.

Prep Time 5 minutes
Active Time 30 minutes
Total Time 35 minutes
Difficulty easy
Estimated Cost $1

Materials

  • Heavy card stock paper
  • Coloring pens

Tools

  • Deskjet printer

Instructions

  1. Insert cardstock paper in printer and print out the printable below.
  2. Use coloring pens to color the image. Groundhog figure in flowers and nature to color.

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Disclosure of Material Connection: Some of the links in the post above are "affiliate links." This means if you click on the link and purchase the item, I will receive a small commission from the sale, but the price is the same for you. I am disclosing this in accordance with the Federal Trade Commission's 16 CFR, Part 255: "Guides Concerning the Use of Endorsements and Testimonials in Advertising."

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